Eight ways to improve your home appraisal

  • By Lou Carlozo

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – When Kellie and Michael May decided to refinance their home in the New York suburbs, they wanted to take advantage of historically low interest rates. But before landing a new 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, they had to get through a home appraisal.

“It was a major stumbling block,” says Kellie May, who has owned the 4-bedroom, 3-bath colonial for seven years. Not that she and her husband were unprepared; they’d been through an appraisal for another refinance in 2010, so they knew to point out improvements they’d made to the 3,400 square foot home, and supply prices for other neighborhood properties that had sold recently.

But the appraisal came back roughly $70,000 less than the $1,230,000 the Mays were expecting, and too low to support their new loan.

They responded with a paperwork arsenal aimed at their lender, asserting that the appraisal had been based on faulty recent sales data. The loan squeaked through, after the bank crafted an exception for the Mays. It was able to do that because their loan was a jumbo loan, not subject to the more rigid underwriting standards they would have encountered if it were a conventional loan aimed at secondary buyers like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Low appraisals are becoming a bigger problem for many would-be buyers and refinancers as home values have started to stabilize and rise in some markets.

In Leesburg, Florida, for example, low appraisals have caused the cancellation of as many as 15 percent of home sales for local real estate broker Gus Grizzard.

“We are seeing higher price appreciation and are starting to run into appraisal problems,” said Charlie Young, chief executive officer of ERA Franchise Systems, a firm with a national network of real estate brokerage offices, including Grizzard’s. The National Association of Realtors reported on Tuesday that inventories of homes were low and the median price a home resale was, at $180,800 in December, up 11.5 percent in a year.

Appraisals are based on recent sales prices of comparable properties. And in rising price markets, those sales prices might not be high enough to support the newest deals. Young said there were many places in California reporting appraisal problems.

On Friday, the federal government issued new rules aimed at improving the appraisal process as it pertains to high-interest mortgages on rapidly appreciating homes.

But those rules don’t go into effect for a year, and don’t apply to most conventional loans. It pays to protect your own loan before the bank even thinks about sending that guy with the clipboard over to your house.

“The reality is that the appraiser is only there for 30 minutes at most,” says Brian Coester, chief executive of CoesterVMS, a nationwide appraisal management company based in Rockville, Maryland. “The best thing a homeowner can do to get the highest appraisal possible is make sure they have all the important features of the home readily available for the appraiser.”

Here are eight ways you can bolster your appraisal:

MAKE SURE APPRAISER KNOWS YOUR NEIGHBORHOOD

Is the appraiser from within a 10-mile radius of your property? “This is one of the first questions you should ask the appraiser,” says Ben Salem, a real estate agent with Rodeo Realty in Beverly Hills, California.

He recalled a recent case where an appraiser visited an unfamiliar property in nearby Orange County and produced an appraisal that Salem said was $150,000 off. “If the appraiser doesn’t know the area intimately, chances are the appraisal will not come back close to what a property is really worth.”

You can request that your lender send a local appraiser; if that still doesn’t happen, supply as much information as you can about the quality of your neighborhood.

PROVIDE YOUR OWN COMPARABLES

Provide your appraiser with at least three solid and well-priced comparable properties. You will save her some work, and insure that she is getting price information from homes that really are similar to yours.

Websites including Realtor.com, Zillow and Trulia offer recent sales prices and details such as the number of bedrooms and bathrooms in a home.

KNOW WHAT ADDS THE MOST VALUE

If you’re going to do minor renovations, start with your kitchen and bathrooms, says G. Stacy Sirmans, a professor of real estate at Florida State University. He reviewed 150 variables that affect home values for a study sponsored by the National Association of Realtors. Wood floors, landscaping and an enclosed garage can also drive up appraisals.

DOCUMENT YOUR FIX-UPS

If you’ve put money into the house, prove it, says Salem.

“Before-and-after photos, along with a well-defined spreadsheet of what was spent on each renovation, should persuade an appraiser to turn in a number that far exceeds what he or she first called out.”

Don’t forget to highlight all-important structural improvements to electrical systems, heating and cooling systems – which are harder to see, but can dramatically boost an appraisal. Show receipts.

TALK UP YOUR TOWN

If your town has recently seen exciting developments, such as upscale restaurants, museums, parks or other amenities, make sure your appraiser knows about them, says Craig Silverman, principal and chief appraiser at Silverman & Co. in Newtown, Pennsylvania.

DISTINGUISH BETWEEN UPSTAIRS AND DOWNSTAIRS

Many homeowners covet that refinished basement, but that doesn’t mean appraisers look at it the same way. “Improvements and additions made below grade, such as a finished basement, do not add to the overall square footage of your house,” says John Walsh, president of Total Mortgage Services in New York. “So they don’t add anywhere near as much value as improvements made above grade.”

According to Remodeling magazine, a basement renovation that cost $63,000 in 2011-12 will recoup roughly 66 percent of that in added home value. That’s not as good as an attic bedroom, which will recoup 73 percent of its cost. Even similar bedrooms typically count for more if they are upstairs instead of downstairs.

CLEAN UP

Even jaded appraisers can be swayed by a good looking yard. “Tree trimming, cleaning up, a few flowers in the flower beds and paint touch up can all help the appraisal,” says Agnes Huff, a real estate investor based in Los Angeles.

That advice holds true indoors, too. “Get rid of all the clutter in your home,” says Jonathan Miller, a longtime appraiser in New York. “It makes the home appear larger.”

GIVE THE APPRAISER SOME SPACE

Don’t follow the appraiser around like a puppy. “I can’t tell you how many homeowners or listing agents follow me around in my personal space during the inspection,” he says. “It’s a major red flag there is a problem with the home.”

And while you’re at it, make the appraiser’s job as pleasant as possible by giving your home a pleasant smell. At a minimum, clean out the litter box. Baking some fresh cookies and offering him one or two probably won’t sway your appraisal, nor should it. But it couldn’t hurt.

(The writer is a Reuters contributor. The opinions expressed are his own.)

Courtesy of your Arcadia Real Estate Agent

Housing Issues to Watch in 2013

By Nick Timiraos

Home prices finally hit a bottom in 2012, well ahead of many predictions that called for continued price drops this year.

Prices were up 6% from one year ago in October, according to CoreLogic CLGX -0.26%, putting them on track for their best year since 2005. Housing starts, which hit a bottom three years ago, ramped up to their highest level in four years. Sales of new homes are running around 20% of last year’s levels, while existing home sales are up around 10%. Continued declines in homes listed for sale—particularly foreclosures—explain much of the improving price picture.

So will 2013 be the year of recovery or relapse? Evidence points more strongly to a continued rebound, albeit one that still has considerable headwinds and that varies from one market to another. This week, we’ll offer five areas of focus for 2013.

1. Don’t fear the shadow. For years, housing analysts have warned that a glut of delinquent mortgages—a so-called “shadow” inventory of eventual foreclosures—would overwhelm housing markets. That hasn’t happened.

On a national basis, the shadow inventory is still there, but it is slowly getting smaller. The number of homes that were 90 days or more past due or in foreclosure fell to around 3 million in October, down by more than 430,000 this year and nearly 1.3 million from the peak in 2010, according to Barclays Capital. Normally, there’s a “shadow” of around 800,000, which means the excess shadow supply stands at around 2.2 million.

Banks have slowed down their foreclosure processes and while those could ramp up in 2013, they’re unlikely to lead to a deluge of supply. Also, big declines in new construction over the past few years have pushed the current housing demand, however muted, towards absorbing the excess supply of foreclosed homes.

The shadow inventory is often discussed as a national phenomenon, but it isn’t really national anymore. States where banks have struggled to meet court-administered foreclosure processes have a significantly higher share of unresolved bad debt: around 5.9% of mortgages are in foreclosure in those judicial states, compared with fewer than 2% in nonjudicial states, according to Lender Processing Services.

Many housing markets “will swallow what foreclosures come to the market whole because we’re seeing inventory shortages develop, acutely,” says Jeffrey Otteau, president of appraisal firm Otteau Valuation Group in East Brunswick, N.J.

 

In New Jersey, which has the second highest foreclosure rate in the country, the bigger problem is that many foreclosures are concentrated in certain communities, particularly inner-city and rural areas. “Those markets are going to take it on the chin,” he says.

 

 

 

 

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3 things to avoid when buying or sellin

Mood of the Market

BY TARA-NICHOLLE NELSON, TUESDAY, DECEMBER 4, 2012.

Inman News®

Advice on what to do and how to do it is everywhere these days. Whether you want to know what to eat, how much money to save or how to learn a new language, it seems that the answers are a mere Google away.

And that has created its own set of problems, chief among them the issue of information overload. Sorting through the overwhelming inundation of information about how to proceed with any major life endeavor — including real estate matters like buying, selling or refinancing a home — has become a sort of pre-action step.

Often, the most helpful action-sorting, order-creating, overwhelm-abolishing advice turns out not to be advice about what to do, but advice about what not to do. To that end, here are my top three real estate don’ts:

1. Buy too soon. As I see it, the drive to buy a home before your finances, your family and even your personal development are truly ready (and the complicity of lenders who were all too happy to make loans to borrowers, prematurely) is to blame for much of the real estate mayhem we saw in the recent real estate recession.

If you have no money to put down, no cash cushion, poor spending, saving and debting habits, or uncertainty about how stable you and your household will be in the next five or so years, geographically and otherwise, buying a home is a move that is highly likely to end in a tale of woe.

As strongly as I believe in the power of homeownership, I have seen time and time again that it is better deferred until you are truly ready than rushed into and regretted.

2. Take it personally. Whatever it is. Buyers who get overly attached to a property, emotionally speaking, put themselves behind the eight ball when it comes to negotiations, and are also likely to panic and make bad decisions when it comes to responding to inspection reports and borrowing mortgage money.

Know that there are literally hundreds, possibly thousands, of prospective homes in your area that might fit your needs, so beware of allowing any single one to get you too worked up, before you have it in contract, have your inspection reports in hand, and have made it through appraisal and underwriting phases.

For sellers, the potential to take things personally is exponentially greater, given that your home is both your largest asset and the place that has been good enough for you and your family to live in for, perhaps, years. It’s very easy to get offended by everything from the real estate agent’s estimation of what your home is worth, staging and property preparation advice (which can feel like your taste and lifestyle are under attack), lowball offers, appraisals — you name it.

The very best practice is to find and work with professionals you trust, six months or even a year in advance of when you want to make your move, then be open and attentive to their advice, even if it hurts. Do not allow your emotional attachment to your home to get in the way of the financial and personal progress you seek from trying to sell it.

3. Avoid discomfort. As a general rule, many of the best things in life require us to go through some discomfort or small, recurring pain to get them. To get fit, you have to get up and exercise when you might feel like curling up and snoozing. To get ahead in your career, you have to exercise discipline in your work habits, putting in hours and ideas even when the going gets tough.

It is no different with real estate; in fact, the nature of the real estate game is so foreign to what most of us consider our zones of comfort and competence that making a series of informed, smart real estate decisions can actually require a series of uncomfortable commitments, several months or even years of agreement to endure little pains to reach your goal.

Whether your personal discomfort zone is triggered by one or all of the following:

  • staunching your spending hemorrhage.
  • saving money when you’d rather take a trip.
  • working through your financial maths repeatedly.
  • negotiating.
  • asking hard questions (and continuing to ask them until you are satisfied).
  • thoroughly reading literally hundreds of pages of disclosure, inspection, and homeowners association (HOA) and loan documents.

My last “don’t” is this: Don’t avoid any of these uncomfortable processes, practices and moments. They are each an essential element of the process of buying or selling or mortgaging a home with wisdom and long-term sustainability.

Tara-Nicholle Nelson is a real estate broker, attorney and the author of two critically acclaimed books on real estate. Tara also speaks and writes on the art and science of life transformation at RETHINK7.com.

Courtesy of you Pasadena Real Estate Agent

Is Buying a New Home Like Buying a New Car?

DATE:DECEMBER 3, 2012 | AUTHOR:BRENDON DESIMONE

When you drive a new car off the lot, it immediately loses some of its value. Does the same apply to real estate? And if so, should you care?

For years, the new construction and development market has been sluggish. But now, banks are lending again for new construction, and developers are ready to build in full force. In major cities such as New Yorkand San Francisco dozens of new projects are in some phase of planning, construction, development and sale. In the suburbs and country, national home builders with large parcels of land are ready to develop communities of new homes.

Buyers in any market are faced with the decision to buy a “used” home vs. a new one, of course. But it’s becoming a little more likely today that buyers will find brand-new homes from which to choose as well as pre-existing ones. Here are some things to consider when you face that choice.

Real estate generally appreciates

Any chart will show you that real estate values typically rise over a long period of time. So if you’re in it for the long haul and can commit to at least five or 10 years, don’t be overly concerned with your home’s resale value. On the other hand, in today’s highly mobile world, it might be more difficult to realize an increase in your home’s value if you sell too soon. If you’re not sure you can commit to a home, new or used, for at least five years, you might be better off renting.

Does the new car theory ever apply?

If you’re selling a home that’s five to 10 years old, you might think such a property is still “new,” and you shouldn’t have a problem selling. However, a buyer choosing between a brand-new home and a “used” one may go for the newer one if they can afford it. So, given two homes with similar floor plans and locations, the newer one should sell for more. The owner of the older home, then, might believe the new car rule — that the purchase depreciates in value over time — does in fact apply to real estate.

The reality is, you just can’t compare your home’s value to that of a newer home; it’s not an apples-to-apples comparison. Though your home’s value may be less than what a nearby new property sells for, it’s important to consider your original purchase price. At the time you bought your home, that price was based on the fact it was new, as well as the values associated with a new home vs. an older home. The bottom line: Though your home may not be worth as much as a brand-new, comparable home, it has most likely appreciated from the time you bought it, along with the larger market.

Maintenance of a new vs. an existing home

A new home comes with warranties not only on the appliances and systems but often from the developer as well. A good developer will stand by his work for at least one year. That means if there is a leaky window or a broken tile or floorboard, the developer would likely remedy the situation at no cost to you. Though a home warranty is always available through a third party, a buyer of a home that’s five years old likely won’t benefit from the original manufacturer’s warranties in place at the time the home was built.

Many buyers don’t want the headaches associated with a 50- or 100-year-old home. However, there’s some truth to the old saying that “they just don’t make homes like they used to anymore.” For example, it would be nearly impossible, let alone financially unfeasible, for a builder today to construct an Italian Stick Victorian home or a Frank Lloyd Wright-style house. And so, there’s inherent value in owning a historic home. There are fewer of them, and their uniqueness will set them apart. When the buyer goes to sell, she’s likely to find the home is worth more than other comparable, newer properties. Conversely, if you’re selling a 2-bedroom, 2-bath standard floor plan home, you’ll probably be competing with other homes built with similar materials and within the same time period. You’ll need to do something to make your home stand out and be more attractive to buyers.

Home first, investment second

Obviously, the fact that a brand-new car loses some value the moment it’s driven off the lot doesn’t stop people from buying new cars. Nor should it. There’s something to be said for that new-car smell, for the extended warranty it comes with, for being the first to own it. Many people spend a lot of time in their cars. They see it as a necessity, something they should enjoy and be comfortable in.

The same is true for a home. While it’s important to understand its value and your investment over time, don’t obsess over it. If the home is right for you given your situation and your timing, that’s the home you should buy, whether it’s new or old. You’ll be spending a lot of time and making many memories there. It’s where you’ll lay your head at night after a hectic workday or long business trip. It’s your home first and an investment second.

Courtesy of you Pasadena Real Estate Agent

Pending Home Sales Index Leaps To Multi-Year High

Published November 30, 2012

Pending Home Sales IndexHomes were sold at a furious pace last month.

According the National Association of REALTORS® (NAR), the Pending Home Sales Index rose 5.2 percent in October, crossing the benchmark 100 reading, and moving to 104.8.

It’s a 5-point improvement from September’s revised figure and the highest reading April 2010 — the last month of that year’s federal home buyer tax credit.

October also marks the 18th consecutive month during which the index showed year-to-year gains.

As a housing market metric, the Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI) differs from most commonly-cited housing statistics because, instead of reporting on what’s already occurred, it details what’s likely to happen next.

The PHSI is a forward-looking indicator; a predictor of future sales. It’s based on signed real estate contracts for existing single-family homes, condominiums, and co-ops. Later, when the contract leads to a closing, the “pending” home sale is counted in NAR’s monthly Existing Home Sales report.

Historically, 80 percent of homes under contract, and thus counted in the Pending Home Sales Index, will go to settlement within a 2-month period, and a significant share of the rest will close within months 3 and 4. The PHSI is a predictor of Existing Home Sales.

Regionally, the Pending Home Sales Index varied in October 2012 :

  • Northeast Region : 79.2; +13 percent from October 2011
  • Midwest Region : 104.4; +20 percent from October 2011
  • South Region : 117.3; +17 percent from October 2011
  • West Region : 105.7; +1 percent from October 2011

A Pending Home Sales Index reading of 100 or higher denotes a “strong” housing market.

Of course, with rising home sales comes rising home values. 2012 has been characterized by strong buyer demand amid falling housing supplies. It’s one reason why the Case-Shiller Index and the FHFA’s Home Price Index are both showing an annual increase in home prices. Plus, with mortgage rates low as we head into December, the traditional “slow season” for housing has been anything but.

The housing market in Greenville is poised to end 2012 with strength. 2013 is expected to begin the same way.

Jobs

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Could Housing Be the Antidote to the ‘Fiscal Cliff’?

By: Jeff Cox
CNBC.com Senior Writer

CHICAGO — At a time when most investment professionals are preoccupied with the fiscal peril in Washington, Liz Ann Sonders envisions an economic recovery that will be built, literally, with four walls.

Martin Poole | Stockbyte | Getty Images

Just as it helped trigger the Great Recession, housing also is serving as the lynchpin to growth ahead, said Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab.

“People are still underestimating the impact that this is going to have,” she said at the Schwab Impact 2012 conference, where thousands of investment professionals are gathering to chart an uncertain future in financial markets. “What people are underestimating is the ripple effect of confidence.”

While its growth has been far from parabolic, housing has survived what Sonders described as “the third consecutive growth scare” this summer that centered not only on the European debt crisis but also on the slew of fiscal issues facing the U.S. (Read MoreHousing Still Precarious in Obama’s Second Term)

The country is wallowing through another year of budget deficits in excess of $1 trillion and national debt that has exceeded the $16 trillion mark.

What’s more, if Congress and President Barack Obama fail to reach deficit-reduction targets, the nation faces going over what Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has labeled the “fiscal cliff.”

That entails a round of tax hikes and spending cuts that automatically goes into effect in 2013 and, if not averted, likely would send the U.S. back intorecession.

Sonders said it’s vital to avoid the cliff, particularly at a time when housing is improving and as the U.S. can’t rely on developing economies for its growth. (Read More‘Fiscal Cliff’ Mess Is a ‘Grand Canyon’: Bill Gross)

 

 

“We are the cleanest shirt in a pile of dirty laundry,” she said in describing the state of the U.S. economy. “It’s not stellar growth, but certainly the trajectory has improved relative to the rest of the world.”

Sonders points to a slew of indicators — builder confidence, home prices and household formation among them — to show that the real estate market is showing steady progress, albeit gradual.

The Census Bureau recently reported that 1.12 million new households were formed over the past year, a turnaround from the post-recession years though not yet fast enough to make up for the households lost during the downturn.

Household formation fell during the recession as many young adults moved back in with their parents, a trend that has begun to turn.

As for builder confidence, a popular index measuring sentiment is still at levels indicating a weak market, but on the other hand is at its highest level in more than six years.

“Just about every metric in housing is starting to turn here,” she said. “We’re finally having a surge in household formation. We have the right kind of supply and demand balance.”

Still, Sonders knows the economy faces a number of other challenges — the fiscal cliff and all the rest.

“I still see some concerns in the long term,” she said. “We have a lot of traction we have to get in the near term.”

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NAR: Housing to Rebound Through 2014

Fri, 2012-11-09 16:14 — NationalMortgag…

For Sale/Credit: Stockbyte

The housing market recovery should continue through the coming years, assuming there are no further limitations on the availability of mortgage credit or a “fiscal cliff,” according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR).

“Existing-home sales, new-home sales and housing starts are all recording notable gains this year in contrast with suppressed activity in the previous four years, and all of the major home price measures are showing sustained increases,” said Lawrence Yun, chief economist for NAR. “Disruption from Sandy likely will be temporary, notably in New Jersey and New York, but the market is likely to pick up speed within a few months with the need to build new homes in damaged areas.”

Yun sees no threatening signs for inflation in 2013, but projects it to be in the range of four to six ercent by 2015.

“The huge federal budget deficit is likely to push up borrowing costs and raise inflation well above two percent,” said Yun.

Rising rents, qualitative easing (the printing of money), federal spending outpacing revenue, and a national debt equal to roughly 10 percent of Gross Domestic Product are all raising inflationary pressures. Mortgage interest rates are forecast to gradually rise and to average four percent next year, and 4.6 percent in 2014 from the inflationary pressure.

With rising demand and an ongoing decline in housing inventory, Yun expects meaningfully higher home prices. The national median existing-home price should rise 6.0 percent to $176,100 for all of 2012, and increase another 5.1 percent next year to $185,200; comparable gains are seen in 2014.

“Real estate will be a hedge against inflation, with values rising 15 percent cumulatively over the next three years, also meaning there will be fewer upside-down home owners,” Yun said. “Today is a perfect opportunity for moderate-income renters to become successful home owners, but stringent mortgage credit conditions are holding them back.”

Existing-home sales this year are forecast to rise nine percent to 4.64 million, followed by an 8.7 percent increase to 5.05 million in 2013; a total of about 5.3 million are seen in 2014. New-home sales are expected to increase to 368,000 this year from a record low 301,000 in 2011, and grow strongly to 575,000 in 2013. Housing starts are forecast to rise to 776,000 in 2012 from 612,000 last year, and reach 1.13 million next year.

“The growth in new construction sounds very impressive, and it does mark a genuine recovery, but it must be kept in mind that the anticipated volume remains below long-term underlying demand,” Yun said. “Unless building activity returns to normal levels in the next couple years, housing shortages could cause home prices to accelerate, and the movement of home prices will be closely tied to the level of housing starts. Home sales and construction activity depend on steady job growth, which we are seeing, but thus far we’ve only regained half of the jobs lost during the recession.”

Yun projects growth in Gross Domestic Product to be 2.1 percent this year and 2.5 percent in 2013. The unemployment rate is showing slow, steady progress and is expected to decline to about 7.6 percent around the end of 2013.

“Of course these projections assume Congress will largely avoid the ‘fiscal cliff’ scenario,” Yun said. “While we’re hopeful that something can be accomplished, the alternative would be a likely recession, so automatic spending cuts and tax increases need to be addressed quickly. People who purchased homes at low prices in the past couple years, including many investors, can expect healthy growth in home equity over the next four years, while renters who were unable to get into the market will be in a weaker position because they are unable to accumulate wealth.  Not only will renters miss out on the price gains, but they’ll also face rents rising at faster rates.”

Yun projects the market share of distressed sales will decline from about 25 percent in 2012 to eight percent in 2014.

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Are Rising Rents Too Much of a Good Thing?

Oct 19, 2012 12:18 PM, By Bendix Anderson, Contributing Writer

It seems like such good news—apartment rents are rising faster than inflation. That means more profits for real estate investors.

 But there’s also a risk. When rents rise faster than the paychecks of your residents, then that puts pressure on their budgets. Eventually they may look for other options. If you’ve carefully marketed your apartment community to a certain set of residents—say retirees or workers at the local hospital—it’s bad news for you if those people can no longer afford to live there.

“Landlords need to be careful,” says Brad Doremus, senior analyst for data firm Reis, Inc., based in New York City. “They can’t raise rents forever or they come up against that budget constraint.” Property managers should worry about competition from new rental housing, cheaper rental housing and even for-sale housing. Eventually it will become clear to everyone that the for-sale housing market has bottomed and prices are rising, and residents paying sky-high rents will start looking seriously at homes or condominiums.

 

INCREASED PRESSURE ON RENTERS

 

How high is the pressure on your renters? The cost of housing rose 52 percent between 2001 and 2010. The cost of transportation rose 33 percent. Taken together, that works out to a 44 percent increase. But over the same period, household incomes rose just 25 percent. Taken together, it adds up to a huge loss of disposable income, according to “Losing Ground: The Struggle of Moderate-Income Households to Afford the Rising Cost of Housing and Transportation,” a new report from the Center for Housing Policy and the Center for Neighborhood Technology.

And a loss of disposable income is a big problem for many renters.

The cost of rental housing has risen even more since 2010. Effective rents on average grew 2.9 percent between end of the third quarter 2012 and the same time last year, inching out the consumer price index, according to Reis. CPI rose 2.0 percent over the year that ended in September. The year-over-year rent hikes were much higher in hot markets like San Jose (4.2 percent) and San Francisco (5.8 percent).

Once you add transportation and housing together, the cost can be overwhelming for moderate-income people. The report defines “moderate-income” as people who earn between 50 percent and 100 percent of the area median income. That’s between $30,000 and $60,000 a year in most markets. These families now pay more than three out of every five dollars—59 percent of their income, on average—on housing and transportation costs.

“The landlord might think there is an opportunity to raise rents, but the market might be volatile enough that they back themselves into a corner,” warns Scott Bernstein, president of CNT. Rental residents may be forced to downsize to other, cheaper housing.

 

THE NUMBERS HAVE A BRIGHTER SIDE

 

But Bernstein also sees an opportunity in the numbers. An apartment community that is located in a place where transportation is less expensive may become much more attractive for households looking to reduce their expenses.

If a moderate-income family can live in a place where the need one less car to get around, that works out to a 10 to 15 percent increase to their disposable income. “It’s the equivalent of 10 percent to a 15 percent raise,” says Bernstein. Smart Growth advocates like Bernstein encourage “location efficient” new development, where residents can walk or take the train to amenities like shopping and employment.

Looking at the cost of housing and transportation together also shows real estate investors what not to worry about. Competition from for-sale housing built far away from jobs and services is probably not coming back anytime soon. “This undercuts the whole idea of ‘drive till you qualify,’” says Bernstein. “I don’t see those markets turning around quickly.”

In contrast, apartments in efficient locations are attractive to renters on a budget. “Press your advantage on transportation,” says Bernstein. “Tell people what it costs to get to a from that building typical locations.”

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Pending home sales up for 17th consecutive month

NAR: Number of homes under contract in September up 14.5 percent from a year go

BY INMAN NEWS, THURSDAY, OCTOBER 25, 2012.

Inman News®

<a href="http://www.shutterstock.com/pic.mhtml?id=106899653" target="_blank">Housing trend</a> image via Shutterstock.

A pending home sales index maintained by the National Association of Realtors showed an annual gain in September for the 17th month in a row.

NAR’s latest Pending Home Sales Index, released today, showed the number of existing homes under contract in September up 0.3 percent from August and 14.5 percent from a year ago.

The index, which represents contracts signed but not yet closed, has settled at 99.5 in September. An index score of 100 is equal to the average level of sales contract activity in 2001, a year in which sales were in line with historical norms. Signed contracts typically close one or two months after the sign date.

“The level of pending contracts has remained very steady implying that this recovery is holding its momentum,” said Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist. Yun said the steady and strong year-over-year increase in the index “is pointing in the right direction.”

All regions saw double-digit year-over-year PHSI increases, except for the West, where it rose just 0.8 percent to 106.9 for the year (and 4.3 percent for the month) on account of tight inventory.

The Northeast saw the largest yearly jump in September of any region with a 26.1 percent increase to an index level of 79.3, which represented a 1.4 percent bump from August to September in the region.

In the Midwest, the index rose 19.3 percent from September 2011 to reach 89.5, which, however, represents a 5.8 percent dip from August’s level.

And in the South, pending home sales jumped 17.6 percent from September 2011 to settle at an index level of 111.5, a 1 percent jump from the index level in August.

COURTESY OF YOUR NUMBER ONE ARCADIA REAL ESTATE AGENT

Over 25 Percent of Home Price Depreciation Due to Proximity of Foreclosures: Study

BY JANN SWANSON

The enormous numbers of foreclosures over the last six years have, of course, had immediate impacts on the families who lose their homes. The effects include physical displacement, drained savings and retirement accounts, and ruined credit. They also suffer longer-term financial impacts such as losing the ability to tap home equity for business or education purposes or retirement as well as losing the financial cushion home equity provides and the main vehicle for transferring wealth inter-generationally.

But there are ramifications to foreclosures that extend beyond those families who actually lose their homes. Communities with high concentrations of foreclosures lose tax revenue and incur the financial and non-financial costs of abandoned properties and neighborhood blight, while homeowners living in close proximity to foreclosures suffer loss of wealth through depreciated home values.

Three researchers from the Center for Responsible Lending (CRL) have produced an updated report on this secondary cost of mortgage foreclosures with a particular focus on the damage being done to communities of color. Collateral Damage: The Spillover Costs of Foreclosure released Wednesday was written by Debbie Gruenstein Bocian, Peter Smith and Wei Li and is an update of three earlier reports on the issue produced by the Center. The last report was issued in 2009.

The authors looked at loans that entered foreclosure between 2007 and 2011 using data collected by the federal government under the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA) and a second data set from Lender Processing Services (LPS). They calculated the number of foreclosure starts for each census track then calculated the loss of value of neighboring homes within 1/8 mile of the foreclosed property.

The authors found that $1.95 trillion in property value has been or will be lost by residents who live in close proximity to a property that has been foreclosed. This figure includes the spillover impact of homes that have been foreclosed as well as future losses from foreclosures that are in process.

Over one-half of this loss has been experienced in communities of color. Minority neighborhoods have lost or will lose $1 trillion in home equity largely because of a high concentration of foreclosures in these neighborhoods.

In all neighborhoods these losses average out to $21,077 in household wealth or about 7.2 percent of the home’s value. However, in neighborhoods of color the average loss is $37,084 or 13.1 percent of the home’s value.

Despite the magnitude of these losses the authors caution that they represent only the wealth that has been lost or will be lost as a direct result of being in close proximity to homes that have begun the foreclosure process. “We do not include in our estimate the total loss in home equity that has resulted from the crisis (estimated at $7 trillion),” they state, “the negative impact on local governments (from lost tax revenue and increased costs of managing vacant properties) or the non-financial spillover costs, such as increased crime, reduced school performance and neighborhood blight.

COURTESY OF YOUR NUMBER ONE ARCADIA REAL ESTATE AGENT