Rising rents outpacing home sale prices

By Vicki Needham - 11/05/12 04:30 PM ET

Increasing rents are outpacing the rise in home prices as the housing market makes gradual improvement.

Rents rose 5.1 percent year over year, with price increases driven by job growth, fewer vacancies and completed foreclosures, according to a housing index released Monday by Trulia, a group that tracks the market’s trends.

Asking prices rose 0.7 percent in October, while increasing 2.9 percent year over year.

“Home prices are climbing in most local markets and in eight of the 11 swing states,” said Jed Kolko, Trulia’s chief economist.

 

“Rising prices have taken pressure off the presidential candidates from having to come up with detailed plans to help the housing market, and that’s a big reason why they haven’t focused on housing in the 2012 campaign.”

 

Rents were up even in cities where sales prices fell, with bumps of 7.7 percent in Chicago and 8.6 percent in Philadelphia.

Excluding foreclosures, asking prices rose 3.6 percent.

Home prices were up year over year in 69 of the 100 largest metros, with prices in Phoenix up almost 25 percent, while they were down more than 5 percent in Chicago.

The top 10 price increases, which ranged from 8.7 to 24.9 percent, included three cities in California — San Jose, Oakland and San Francisco.

By the end of December, prices nationally should be just 1.1 percent below their level in January 2009.

Houston led the way in rising rents, with the top 10 metros seeing increases between 6 and 16.5 percent in the past year.

“Continued widespread price increases are good for homeowners but not for home-seekers,” Kolko said. “For homeowners, rising prices add to their wealth and help bring underwater borrowers closer to positive equity. For home-seekers, however, rising prices could put homeownership out of reach.”

COURTESY OF YOUR NUMBER ONE ARCADIA REAL ESTATE AGENT

Over 25 Percent of Home Price Depreciation Due to Proximity of Foreclosures: Study

BY JANN SWANSON

The enormous numbers of foreclosures over the last six years have, of course, had immediate impacts on the families who lose their homes. The effects include physical displacement, drained savings and retirement accounts, and ruined credit. They also suffer longer-term financial impacts such as losing the ability to tap home equity for business or education purposes or retirement as well as losing the financial cushion home equity provides and the main vehicle for transferring wealth inter-generationally.

But there are ramifications to foreclosures that extend beyond those families who actually lose their homes. Communities with high concentrations of foreclosures lose tax revenue and incur the financial and non-financial costs of abandoned properties and neighborhood blight, while homeowners living in close proximity to foreclosures suffer loss of wealth through depreciated home values.

Three researchers from the Center for Responsible Lending (CRL) have produced an updated report on this secondary cost of mortgage foreclosures with a particular focus on the damage being done to communities of color. Collateral Damage: The Spillover Costs of Foreclosure released Wednesday was written by Debbie Gruenstein Bocian, Peter Smith and Wei Li and is an update of three earlier reports on the issue produced by the Center. The last report was issued in 2009.

The authors looked at loans that entered foreclosure between 2007 and 2011 using data collected by the federal government under the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA) and a second data set from Lender Processing Services (LPS). They calculated the number of foreclosure starts for each census track then calculated the loss of value of neighboring homes within 1/8 mile of the foreclosed property.

The authors found that $1.95 trillion in property value has been or will be lost by residents who live in close proximity to a property that has been foreclosed. This figure includes the spillover impact of homes that have been foreclosed as well as future losses from foreclosures that are in process.

Over one-half of this loss has been experienced in communities of color. Minority neighborhoods have lost or will lose $1 trillion in home equity largely because of a high concentration of foreclosures in these neighborhoods.

In all neighborhoods these losses average out to $21,077 in household wealth or about 7.2 percent of the home’s value. However, in neighborhoods of color the average loss is $37,084 or 13.1 percent of the home’s value.

Despite the magnitude of these losses the authors caution that they represent only the wealth that has been lost or will be lost as a direct result of being in close proximity to homes that have begun the foreclosure process. “We do not include in our estimate the total loss in home equity that has resulted from the crisis (estimated at $7 trillion),” they state, “the negative impact on local governments (from lost tax revenue and increased costs of managing vacant properties) or the non-financial spillover costs, such as increased crime, reduced school performance and neighborhood blight.

COURTESY OF YOUR NUMBER ONE ARCADIA REAL ESTATE AGENT