Rising rents outpacing home sale prices

By Vicki Needham - 11/05/12 04:30 PM ET

Increasing rents are outpacing the rise in home prices as the housing market makes gradual improvement.

Rents rose 5.1 percent year over year, with price increases driven by job growth, fewer vacancies and completed foreclosures, according to a housing index released Monday by Trulia, a group that tracks the market’s trends.

Asking prices rose 0.7 percent in October, while increasing 2.9 percent year over year.

“Home prices are climbing in most local markets and in eight of the 11 swing states,” said Jed Kolko, Trulia’s chief economist.

 

“Rising prices have taken pressure off the presidential candidates from having to come up with detailed plans to help the housing market, and that’s a big reason why they haven’t focused on housing in the 2012 campaign.”

 

Rents were up even in cities where sales prices fell, with bumps of 7.7 percent in Chicago and 8.6 percent in Philadelphia.

Excluding foreclosures, asking prices rose 3.6 percent.

Home prices were up year over year in 69 of the 100 largest metros, with prices in Phoenix up almost 25 percent, while they were down more than 5 percent in Chicago.

The top 10 price increases, which ranged from 8.7 to 24.9 percent, included three cities in California — San Jose, Oakland and San Francisco.

By the end of December, prices nationally should be just 1.1 percent below their level in January 2009.

Houston led the way in rising rents, with the top 10 metros seeing increases between 6 and 16.5 percent in the past year.

“Continued widespread price increases are good for homeowners but not for home-seekers,” Kolko said. “For homeowners, rising prices add to their wealth and help bring underwater borrowers closer to positive equity. For home-seekers, however, rising prices could put homeownership out of reach.”

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1.7 million new renters expected in next three years

Posted by kpanchuk on 11/6/12 at 8:59am

The changing dynamics of today’s housing market could create 1.7 million new multifamily renters between now and 2015, Freddie Mac’s Multifamily Research Group said this week.

The government sponsored enterprise expects the homeownership rate to fall 1 to 2 percentage points if the slow economic recovery continues.

The nation’s expanding renter pool is the result of economic stress, high foreclosure rates and changing demographics, the research group asserted in a new study.

The takeaway from the study is that rental demand is only expected to rise in the coming years.

Individuals and families looking for homes to rent also increased in recent years as the pool of qualified homebuyers shrinks.

The single-family rental market has grown 16% since 2007, suggesting renting is popular across housing product types.

“The research supports the optimism that currently pervades the multifamily market,” said David Brickman, senior vice president of Freddie Mac Multifamily. “It confirms that multifamily is a bright spot in the real estate market and the economy more broadly, and it will likely continue to shine for quite some time.”

kpanchuk@housingwire.com

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