Council Unanimously Approves Park Smoking Ban

Ordinance bans smoking at parks, city-sponsored events and recreation areas, with the exception of the Par-3 Golf Course.

By Connie K. Ho

The Arcadia City Council has unanimously passed a ban on smoking in parks and recreation areas, with the exception of the Par-3 Golf Course. The ordinance follows a report by the American Lung Association that gave Arcadia an “F” grade in air quality.

“I think that it’s great,” Arcadia resident Jenny Chou said of the ban. “A lot of children use the parks and recreational areas and it’s unfair to expose them to second-hand smoke. I think it’s better for the environment, better for our air quality.”

The City Council first directed the staff to prepare an ordinance prohibiting tobacco use in city parks and recreation areas at the March 6 meeting.

The ordinance would cost an estimated $6,000 for the manufacture and installation of signs at each location where smoking would be prohibited, city officials said.

Other cities in the San Gabriel Valley have also prohibited smoking in recreation areas, including Alhambra, El Monte, Monterey Park, South Pasadena and Temple City.

 

COURTESY OF YOUR NUMBER ONE ARCADIA REAL ESTATE AGENT

I’ll Have Another Has a Chance at the First Triple Crown Since 1978!

I’ll Have Another has a chance to become the first Triple Crown winner since Affirmed in 1978!

Adapted from a Santa Anita Park press release.


Tickets on Sale Now for BREEDERS’ CUP WORLD CHAMPIONSHIPS at Santa Anita Park

Adapted from a Santa Anita Park press release.

ARCADIA, Calif. (June 4, 2012) – The Breeders’ Cup and Santa Anita Park today announced that tickets are now on sale to the general public for this year’s Breeders’ Cup World Championships, Friday, November 2 and Saturday, November 3. This is the sixth time that that Santa Anita will host the event and the third time under the two-day Championship format, which will begin on Friday with a 10-race program. Saturday’s card will include 12 races and will finish with the $5 million Breeders’ Cup Classic at approximately 5:30 p.m. PT.

The 29th Breeders’ Cup, Thoroughbred racing’s most prestigious global event, consists of 15 races with purses and awards totaling more than $25 million.

The 2009 Breeders’ Cup at Santa Anita featured some of the greatest moments in racing history as more than 96,000 fans were in attendance over the two-day event, climaxed by super mare Zenyatta becoming the first female ever to win the Breeders’ Cup Classic.

This year, fans will be able to purchase Breeders’ Cup tickets in two ways:

Fans may log on to the Web at www.breederscup.com/tickets to access the online ticket system, which allows purchasers to view seat locations and buy their tickets in a fast, efficient manner. Those without online access or in need of assistance may purchase tickets by telephone by calling toll-free at 1 877-910-9511.

Due to the success of the recently concluded pre-sale, most premium areas have already been sold; however, excellent seats are available in Grandstand Reserved, Turf Club box seating and Dining. Among the ticketing options for this year’s Championships are:

Ticket prices for reserved seats on Championship Friday range from $40-$250 and on Championship Saturday from $75-$300. There are also bundled two-day packages available for Grandstand Reserved seats, Turf Club box seating and premium dining experiences.

All fans purchasing reserved seating (Grandstand, Clubhouse and Turf Club) will receive free track programs on both Friday and Saturday upon entering the racetrack.

Fans will have the option to purchase single seats within a Turf Club Box and in the following Dining areas: Sirona’s Paddock View Dining and Clockers’ Corner Trackside Dining. ·

General Admission print-at-home tickets will go on sale beginning October 1. Fans will receive a 25% discount on general admission prices by purchasing their tickets in advance and online. The online price for Championship Friday will be $10. General Admission online price on Championship Saturday is $15. General admission prices at the gate on Championship Friday will be $15 and $20 on Championship Saturday.

Breeders’ Cup and Santa Anita Park have enlisted QuintEvents as its official provider of fan experience packages. Fans will be able to select from packages that include Friday & Saturday Championships tickets and private hospitality with celebrity jockey ‘meet and greet’ opportunities and add-on such enhancements as: parties, ground transportation and hotels. Log on to www.breederscup.com/tickets or call 866-834-8663 for more information.

“Together with our host, Santa Anita Park, we look forward to another outstanding experience for our fans from around the globe attending the Breeders’ Cup to enjoy the most spectacular two-days of racing at one of the world’s most remarkable racetracks,” said Craig Fravel, Breeders’ Cup President and CEO. “We were delighted with the record turnout in 2009 and encourage fans to take advantage of the new seating options available this year.”

“This is an exciting time for all of us at Santa Anita and we’re happy to be able to begin selling tickets on June 4 for the two-day Breeders’ Cup in November,” said Santa Anita President George Haines. “I’ve been a part of every Breeders’ Cup dating back to 1986 and they’ve all been tremendous successes.

We’re hopeful this year’s event is going to be our best ever and we look forward to once again welcoming our fans and horsemen from all over the world to what we believe is the most beautiful venue in all of racing. The Best is Certainly Yet to Come.”

About Breeders’ Cup

The Breeders’ Cup administers the Breeders’ Cup World Championships, Thoroughbred racing’s year-end Championships. The Breeders’ Cup also administers the Breeders’ Cup Challenge qualifying series, which provides automatic starting positions into the Championships races. The 2012 Breeders’ Cup World Championships, consisting of 15 races and purses totaling more than $25 million will be held Nov. 2-3 at Santa Anita Park in Arcadia, Calif., and will be televised live by the NBC Sports Network. Breeders’ Cup press releases appear on the Breeders’ Cup Web site, www.breederscup.com. You can also follow the Breeders’ Cup on social media platforms, Facebook, Twitter and YouTube.

-30-

Area Locals Do Well at CIF Track & Field State Meet in Clovis!

HIGH SCHOOLS: South Pasadena’s Kieffer-Wright jumps to state title

By Miguel A. Melendez, SGVN twitter.com/StarNewsPreps
Posted:   06/02/2012 11:27:04 PM PDT

South Pasadena’s Claire Kieffer-Wright wins the high jump at Saturday’s CIF-SS State meet in Clovis. (Scott Varley / Staff Photographer)

CLOVIS – The drought, albeit a short one, is over.

For the first time in two years, South Pasadena High School’s Claire Kieffer-Wright is bringing home a CIF State track and field championship thanks to a gutsy performance in the high jump in front of 7,123 at Buchanan High School.

Kieffer-Wright, a sophomore, made giant strides since narrowly qualifying for the state prelims at the Masters Meet on May 25 as she hit the winning mark of 5 feet, 10 inches. She is the first West Valley state track champion since Sam Pons, now running at Princeton, won the 3,200 meters two years ago for South Pasadena.

In a show of true perseverance, Kieffer-Wright wasn’t deterred despite missing the opening jump of 5-3.

“It was really nerve-wracking missing my first attempt,” she said. “I was a little shaky but I knew I had to compete. That’s the main thing in the high jump besides form and technique, to be able to brush off mistakes and be mentally tough.”

After clearing the winning mark, Kieffer-Wright opted to continue and made an attempt at clearing 6-0 3/4, the qualifying mark for the Olympic trials “B” standard. Kieffer-Wright made two attempts and ended there because of back problems, but the mere fact she had the opportunity to do so showed how much she’s accomplished in just one year.

The East Valley also had a representative sitting atop the podium as Damien’s Jarrett Gonzales won the state title in the 300 hurdles with a mark of 37.30 seconds.

Gonzales made quite a turnaround, from not even reaching the Sierra League finals because of an injury to ending a decorated career as state champion.

Gonzales said a gust of winds right off the blocks worried him a bit, but it wouldn’t be long before he hit his full stride.

“Coming off the last hurdle on the curve and just opening up my stride and sprinting all the way through,” Gonzales said when asked when he felt the race was his.

He didn’t break a personal mark, but the UCLA-bound Gonzales said it was an amazing accomplishment. He pulled a left hamstring and rolled his left ankle in a meet before the start of league his junior season.

“I had an opportunity to run at the world youth trials,” Gonzales said. “I asked my coach and he said I should recover and rehabilitate.”

The move paid dividends.

In the same race, Diamond Ranch’s Andrew Fischer finished ninth with a time of 38.35.

Maranatha’s Ebony Crear accomplished her goal of reaching the state finals in the 100 hurdles. She finished seventh in 14.18.

Crear, the sophomore daughter of two-time Olympic medalist Mark Crear, almost didn’t finish the race.

“The third hurdle I hit it with my right leg and buckled,” she said.

“But I’m just happy I was able to recuperate and keep going. Just do my best because I hit the hurdle.”

In the 400, Arcadia’s Alex McElwee finished seventh with a time of 48.86 while San Marino’s Kyle Ezold, in his first year running track, came in eighth at 49.50.

Bonita sophomore Nikki Wheatley finished eighth in the triple jump with a mark of 37-8 3/4.

La Salle’s Daniel De La Torre got off to a strong start in the 1,600, but it all went wrong 800 meters into the race.

“My muscles started tightening up,” he said.

De La Torre was visibly disappointed with the result, a ninth-place finish in 4:16.38, but he bounced back strong in the 3,200, the final event of the night. He finished fourth with a time of 9:06.60. Arcadia’s Sergio Gonzalez, who scratched from the 1,600 preliminaries, finished fifth at 9:10.46.

De La Torre was about a minute off his personal mark, and though he earned a medal and a spot at the podium it wasn’t enough to bring a smile to his face.

“Whoever aspired to be fourth … not very satisfying for me,” he said. “I never aspire to be that. I use my failures to succeed and help me next year. I plan on winning state next year for cross country and track I want it more than I want to breathe.”

De La Torre, in his first real year of track after several injuries his sophomore year, finished third at the state cross country meet last year.

“I just have a lot more to prove,” he said. “I’ll prove myself next year.”

miguel.melendez@sgvn.com

Read more:http://www.pasadenastarnews.com/sports/ci_20771484/high-schools-south-pasadenas-kieffer-wright-jumps-state#ixzz1wqf1L6ha

What’s on Tuesday’s Election Ballot

The primary election ballot includes local, state, and national candidates, as well as two statewide ballot and two local initiatives. See what candidates Arcadia residents are choosing between.

Los Angeles County voters will go to the polls Tuesday to cast ballots in local, state and national political races, as well as on two statewide ballot initiatives and several local initiatives.

Without a high-stakes presidential primary — Republican Mitt Romney has already earned the delegates he needs to claim the GOP nomination — voter turnout is expected to be low.

The county’s 4.5 million registered voters will have the chance to select a presidential candidate, a U.S. Senate candidate and whether to approve two state ballot measures — one to add a $1 tax on cigarettes to fund cancer research and another to reduce the amount of time politicians can serve in the
state Legislature from 14 years to 12 years.

Six candidates are vying to become Los Angeles County’s top prosecutor. Voters across the county will also weigh in on a total of 18 U.S. House, seven
state Senate, 24 state Assembly and three Los Angeles County supervisorial
races.

The election will mark the first major test of the state’s “top two” primary system approved by California voters in 2010. Under the system, only the top two vote-getters, regardless of political party, will advance to a Nov. 6 runoff. The system does not apply to local, presidential or central committee races.

The system was intended to produce more moderate candidates, said Fernando Guerra, a Loyola Marymount politics professor and director of the Thomas and Dorothy Leavey Center for the Study of Los Angeles.

The intention, however, is likely to be counteracted by low voter turnout.

“Voters that are motivated by ideology are still going to dominate this election,” Guerra said.

Guerra said the “top two” runoff system is also likely to devastate third parties.

“I predict there will not be a single third-party candidate on the (runoff) ballot in November for the first time in decades, in almost 50 years,” Guerra said.

In some cases that could leave as much as 10 percent of the electorate up for grabs during a runoff election.

Dan Schnur, director of the Jesse M. Unruh Institute of Politics at USC, said it could force candidates to communicate more with voters.

“It’s not just a quantity of voter communication. It’s the nature of that communication as well,” Schnur said. “Candidates will find that they can no longer rely solely on the most ideologically intense members of their own party. They will be forced to reach out to a broader range of voters.”

The results of the every-10-year redistricting process also affected the makeup of candidates on Tuesday’s ballot. The 2010-11 redistricting, the practice of redrawing political district boundaries to reflect changing demographics, was conducted by a non-partisan citizens commission, rather than lawmakers. In some cases the process forced incumbents of the same party into the same district.

Arcadia residents will vote for new representatives for Congress and state Assembly. Arcadia is in the 27th Congressional district and 49th Assembly District.

While Arcadia falls in the newly-created state Senate District 22, that district won’t be included in this year’s election cycle; however, a committee will appoint a representative for the district. That representative will remain responsible for the district until the next election cycle in 2014.

The Arcadia representative races and the candidates include:

United States Representative – 27th District (Includes Arcadia, Sierra Madre, Glendora, Altadena, San Marino, and La Cañada Flintridge)

Judy Chu – Democratic
1531 Purdue Ave. Los Angeles, CA 90025
(626) 320-4835
chuforcongress@gmail.com
http://www.judychu.org

Bob Duran  – Republican
P O BOX 1067, Pasadena, CA 91102
bob@bobduran.org
bobduran.org

Jack Orswell – Republican
316 W Foothill Blvd., Monrovia, CA 91016
626-629-VOTE (8683)
Jack@JackOrswell.com

State Assembly – 49th District (Includes Arcadia, San Marino, Temple City, Alhambra, San Gabriel, Rosemead and Monterey Park)

Edwin Chau – Democrat
1401 Mission St., Ste C1,  South Pasadena, Ca. 91030
(626)-300-0024
edchau4assembly@gmail.com
edchau.com

Mitchell Ing – Democrat
1432 Arriba Drive,  Monterey Park, Ca. 91754
(213)-509-7579
mitchelling@aol.com
mitchelling.com

Matthew Lin – Republican
(626)-943-2280
drlin@votedrlin.com
votedrlin.com

For more information on the candidates or the June 5 primary election visit the Los Angeles County Clerk website.

Mortgage rates keep plunging: 15-year dips below 3%

By Jessica Dickler @CNNMoney May 31, 2012: 12:45 PM ET
mortgage-rates

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) — Mortgage rates continued to plunge to new lows this week, with interest rates on the 15-year fixed rate mortgage dipping below 3% for the first time on record.

The 30-year fixed mortgage, the most popular mortgage product, fell by 0.03 percentage points to 3.75%, setting yet another record for the fifth week in a row, according to a weekly survey by Freddie Mac. Last year, 30-year loans averaged 4.55%. The new low can save borrowers about $47 a month for every $100,000 borrowed. Over a 30-year term, that comes to $16,756.

Rates on the 15-year fixed mortgage, which is popular among those looking to refinance, fell to 2.97% — the first time it has dropped below 3% since Freddie Mac began tracking the weekly data. Down from 3.74% a year ago, the new 15-year rate would lower borrowing costs to $689 a month for every $100,000 borrowed, a $37 savings compared to last year.

The continued slide in mortgage rates is, in part, due to ongoingeconomic turmoil in Europe, according to Freddie Mac’s chief economist, Frank Nothaft.

“Market concerns over tensions in the Eurozone led to a decline in long-term Treasury bond yields helping to bring fixed mortgage rates to new record lows this week,” he said.

Rates are almost half what they were at the peak of the housing bubble in mid-2006. At the time, the average interest rate was about 6.75% for a 30-year loan.

Meanwhile, home prices have hit new post-bubble lows, according to the most recent S&P/Case-Shiller home price index of 20 major markets. Home prices have not been this low since mid-2002.

Much lower home prices, along with affordable mortgages, should help to bolster the housing market, but don’t expect a vigorous recovery to follow, said Mike Larson, a housing market analyst for Weiss Research.

“The less you have to pay for a house the better that is but it’s not a cure all,” he said. “Despite lower interest rates, there is still a weak economy and weak job market. That’s not good for underlying housing demand.”

How to Find Low-Cost Investing Help

Want assistance but only have a small nest egg? You’ve got a number of options.

Getting high-quality investment advice at a reasonable cost might seem like a challenge, particularly for anyone with a modest nest egg.

But if you’re a mutual-fund investor with a smaller portfolio, take heart. Advisory fees have fallen significantly because of competition, changes in the way financial advisers package services and the arrival of low-cost Internet-based money-management services.

Individuals have a much larger range of advisory choices than ever before, says Matt Matrisian, an expert on advisory services at the wealth-management arm of Genworth Financial Inc., GNW -1.91% based in Richmond, Va.

ADVICE

David Pohl

Some advisers will craft a basic financial plan and suggest portfolio allocations for a flat fee of less than $1,000 in an effort to build a relationship with a client. Others might do it free, although you will pay continuing money-management fees.

There are some caveats. If you opt for a low-cost service, you may not have the option of calling someone for reassurance if stocks take a tumble. And as your portfolio grows and your life circumstances change, you probably would benefit from spending more on additional services such as educational, tax or estate planning.

But especially for people who have just started accumulating assets, a basic advisory service may be all you need. Here’s what you need to know about finding advisory services at a cost you can afford:

TRADITIONAL SERVICE

A full-service adviser will try to gauge your tolerance for risk and gather many details about your assets, debts and objectives before designing a portfolio. A really comprehensive financial plan—one that might include estate planning, for example—can cost $2,000 or a lot more.

On top of that, advisers traditionally have charged annual fees of around 1% to 2% of the amount in your portfolio to oversee it. Others get paid by steering investors toward funds that require an upfront sales commission, or “load.”

If you invest in funds—as most people with smaller portfolios do—you also will have to pay the funds’ expenses, which range from less than 0.25% for some index mutual funds and exchange-traded funds to 1% to 2% for some actively managed funds.

All in all, annual money-management fees could cost you around 2% to 3%, a good-sized bite in an era of low interest rates and uncertain equity returns.

HELP ON A BUDGET

Some individual planners and advisers may agree to work at lower fees if they think it will help them forge a long-term relationship with you.

Some may agree to work on an hourly fee basis—$300 an hour is a typical rate—or on a flat-fee-per-project basis.

You can find a financial adviser who might suit your personal needs through websites operated by trade groups such as the Financial Planning Association (fpanet.org), the National Association of Personal Financial Advisors (Napfa.org) or the Alliance of Cambridge Advisors (ACAplanners.org). Another option is Garrett Planning Network (Garrettplanningnetwork.com), a network of fee-only advisers who charge by the hour.

Do some homework before calling a prospective adviser. Pull together your financial data and do some online research to learn about the services advisers offer and what they charge, says Lynn Ballou, a certified financial planner and managing partner of Ballou Plum Wealth Advisors LLC in Lafayette, Calif.

Be straightforward about what you believe you can afford, and don’t apologize for asking for a basic level of service, Ms. Ballou says. “You need to make sure you have the right fit” when hiring an adviser, she says.

MUTUAL-FUND ROUTE

Some mutual-fund firms provide no-frill advisory services to people who invest in their products, although there often is a minimum asset requirement.

For example, investors with portfolios of less than $50,000 can get a basic financial plan and allocation recommendations for a flat fee of $1,000 from fund giant Vanguard Group. That fee falls to $250 for people with at least $50,000 to invest.

USAA, a diversified financial-services firm in San Antonio that focuses mainly on U.S. military families, offers free financial planning and investment advice to anyone via telephone, without any minimum asset requirement, says Mary Stork, an executive in its financial-advice and financial-services group. However, USAA advisers will tailor a portfolio only with the firm’s own mutual funds, and you’ll need to have $250,000 to invest if you want a face-to-face meeting.

DISCOUNT-BROKER OPTION

Discount brokerage firms, which have long served do-it-yourself investors, have started to provide advice and portfolio-management services, too.

People who open an account at discount brokerage Charles Schwab Corp.,SCHW -2.89% for example, can receive a free personal consultation, in person or via phone, and get a financial plan and recommended investment allocations, says Brennan Miller, a Schwab financial consultant based in suburban Chicago.

If you have at least $50,000 to invest, Schwab will create and manage a mutual-fund portfolio for you. The firm charges an annual management fee of 0.50% on the first $250,000 in assets, which covers all transactions and any rebalancing, but not management expenses charged by funds. Schwab also will create and manage a portfolio of ETFs for clients with at least $100,000, for an annual fee that starts at 0.75% of assets.

 

WEB-BASED SERVICES

If you already bank and shop on the Internet, managing your money there might be a natural next step.

Wealthfront.com automates the process of creating a risk profile, recommends a portfolio of ETFs and periodically rebalances it. It requires a minimum of $5,000. Other than expenses charged by the ETFs it uses, it charges no advisory fee on the first $25,000. If you invest more, the fee rises to 0.25% a year.

Wealthfront users won’t speak with a human at the firm unless they encounter a problem that requires technical support.

The service mainly targets young professionals in the tech industry because those “who live their lives on the Web” are likely to be most receptive, says Andy Rachleff, president and chief executive officer. But the service is open to anyone and has attracted others who want to be like those in Silicon Valley, says Mr. Rachleff.

Another online service, Betterment.com, offer personal consultations to people who invest at least $100,000. Those take place with its chief executive officer, Jon Stein, who also is a chartered financial analyst.

Annual fees range from 0.35% for those with less than $10,000 to 0.15% for a portfolio of at least $100,000. There is no required minimum, but the service does ask users, at the least, to commit to arranging a $100 monthly transfer into their Betterment accounts.

Betterment relies on a total of only eight equity and bond ETFs, all from Vanguard orBlackRock Inc.’s BLK -3.07% iShares unit, for varied allocations of its clients.

“By simplifying the solution set, we believe we help people make better decisions,” says Mr. Stein.

Mr. Pollock is a writer in Ridgewood, N.J. Email him at reports@wsj.com.

 

Craig and Susan McCaw List a Private Island for $75 Million

 

Craig and Susan McCaw have listed their 780-acre private island off the coast of Vancouver, B.C., for $75 million. Candace Jackson has details on The News Hub. Photo: Jacob McNeil/PlatinumHD.

Craig and Susan McCaw have listed their 780-acre private island off the coast of Vancouver, British Columbia, for $75 million.

Known as James Island, the property is about a mile off the coast of Vancouver Island and has a private Jack Nicklaus-designed golf course, sandy beaches, an airstrip and a marina. There is a four-bedroom, 5,000-square-foot main residence built from reclaimed cedar, a large warehouse that has been converted into an entertainment center, a gym, a store, staff accommodations and six guest cottages.

[SB10001424052702303640104577438521856489182]

Jacob McNeil/PlatinumHDCraig and Susan McCaw have listed their 780-acre private island off the coast of Vancouver, British Columbia, for $75 million.

Formerly the site of a World War II-era dynamite plant, the island once had a population of roughly 800. In the 1980s it was partially developed into a resort. Mr. McCaw, the cellphone-industry pioneer, purchased the island in 1994.

Mr. McCaw said in an email that his family “adores being on the island” but are selling now because they “have the perfect storm of kids’ activities and no one wants to be left behind.”

Mark Lester of Sotheby’s International Realty in Vancouver has the listing.

A Beverly Hills Estate Goes Back on the Market for $39 Million

A 10.5-acre Beverly Hills, Calif., equestrian estate is back on the market for $39 million, a 30% discount from its most recent asking price of $54.9 million late last year. The property is owned by Bo Zarnegin, who built the Peninsula Hotel in Beverly Hills with his brother Robert.

The large property is on a hilltop off Coldwater Canyon with views of the city and ocean and is zoned for horses, with equestrian facilities including eight stables and offices. The 6,377-square-foot, five-bedroom, five-bath Monterey Colonial-style main house was built in 1939 and was recently restored. There’s also a large guesthouse with two bedrooms, a kitchen and a living room that opens onto an outdoor swimming pool.

The home was previously owned by Warner Bros. Pictures chief John Calley and later, Dawn Steel, who ran Columbia Pictures. Mr. Zarnegin purchased the house seven years ago from Ms. Steel’s estate. Listing broker Barry Peele, of Sotheby’s International Realty in Beverly Hills, says the home is not Mr. Zarnegin’s primary residence. Mr. Peele shares the listing with Robin Greer, also of Sotheby’s.

Lake Tahoe Waterfront Home Lists for $20 Million. The Lake Tahoe, Calif., home of Richard and Mary Lou Johnson has listed for $20 million.

The 4,000-square-foot home has six bedrooms and five baths. It is on 400 feet of lakefront and is adjacent to 350 acres of private meadows and forest. It was designed in 1939 by Julia Morgan, the architect of the Hearst Castle.

The Johnsons purchased the home in 1976. Mr. Johnson, the co-founder of an electronics and semiconductor company, says he’s selling because he and his wife are assembling a financial estate to be left to their children.

Christy Curtis and Dwight McCarthy of Coldwell Banker have the listing.

—Candace Jackson

For Mortgage Lenders, Less is More

The first rule of successful prognostication is never to mention a number and a time in the same sentence.

tape0529

Bloomberg NewsWells Fargo writes one in three U.S. mortgages and saw $2.62 billion in net gains on mortgage originations and sales in the first quarter.

Economists at the Mortgage Bankers Association haven’t taken the easy way out though. With homeowners chasing fresh lows in mortgage rates, last week the trade group increased its estimate for 2012 refinancing activity to $870 billion.

That is $200 billion more than its previous estimate and is more than twice its $400 billion forecast of last summer. Wednesday’s report on weekly refinancing activity is expected to underpin this with a fourth, consecutive rise; activity increased 5.6% last week on a seasonally adjusted, weekly basis.

This year’s torrid refinancing activity is translating into big profits for some banks, but the connection isn’t as direct as it seems. With many borrowers unable to meet stricter lending standards, activity is just half of that seen during the housing boom’s heyday.

[AOT]

But it is more profitable. That is because banks’ “gain on sale” for each mortgage is far higher—a swing of some $3,000 on a typical loan, estimates Guy Cecala of Inside Mortgage Finance. “Since 2008, we’ve had a lack of real competition in the mortgage market,” he says.

Wells Fargo WFC -4.91% & Co. is an example. It writes one in three U.S. mortgages and saw $2.62 billion in net gains on mortgage originations and sales in the first quarter. That was up 127% from a year earlier and equaled a big chunk of its $4.25 billion in first-quarter net income.

The upshot for borrowers is that, while rates are near record lows for those with good credit, they could be even lower.

Chalk that up to banks that see no need to chase customers. And why add capacity now? Just months ago, banks’ own experts were telling them that average rates for 30-year fixed mortgages would be 5% in 2012 and that business volume would be half of today’s level.

For what it is worth, the MBA’s prediction is for a 60% drop next year in refinancing. If it is finally right, it means that banks’ mortgage profits will shrink. But, should it be because rates rise and not just that the pool of eligible refinancing candidates shrinks further, borrowers waiting to pounce on that lower rate shouldn’t dawdle.

Spencer Jakab at spencer.jakab@wsj.com

Home prices lowest since 2002

By Jessica Dickler @CNNMoney May 30, 2012: 3:02 PM ET

Home prices hit new lows.
Home prices hit new post-crisis lows in March.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) — Home prices hit new post-bubble lows in March, according to a report out Tuesday.

Average home prices were down 2.6% from 12 months earlier, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller home price index of 20 major markets. Home prices have not been this low since mid-2002.

“While there has been improvement in some regions, housing prices have not turned,” said David Blitzer, spokesman for S&P.

Although five cities — Atlanta, Chicago, Las Vegas, New York and Portland — saw average home prices hit new lows, that’s an improvement from last month’s report, in which nine cities notched new lows, Blitzer noted.

In 13 of the 20 cities, average home prices fell in March from the year before. Atlanta fared the worst, with home prices down 17.7% year over year. Home prices in Atlanta, Cleveland, Detroit and Las Vegas are all below their January 2000 levels.

Alternatively, Phoenix posted the largest gain, with prices up 6.1% from last year. Other cities showing an uptick included Dallas, Denver and Miami.

Overall, the 20-city composite is down about 35% from its peak in 2006.

Experts say affordable mortgages, combined with much lower home prices, should help to bolster the housing market.

“It’s probably the best time to buy a home in decades,” said Pat Newport, an analyst for IHS Global Insight.

“But the problem is that unless you have good credit, you are probably going to have trouble qualifying for a loan,” he added, referring to overly tight lending conditions.

Last week, a report by the National Association of Realtors showed thathome sales jumped in April. Sales of new homes were also higher in April, according to a separate government report.

“This might be a strong season, but there’s a good chance we’ll continue down for years still,” said Robert Shiller, professor of economics at Yale University. “There’s too much uncertainty.”